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COP30: REGIONAL INSTITUTION SHOULD PROVIDE FOCUSED OVERSIGHT TO GUIDE MEMBER STATES IN ACHIEVING CLIMATE RESILIENCE

The Society for Planet and Prosperity (SPP) Project Lead / Senior Policy Analyst, Gboyega Olorunfemi has called for a focused leadership by regional institutions in strengthening Early warning Climate Resilience and Human Mobility Systems in West Africa.

This call was made while speaking at the side event organised by the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) in collaboration with the German Agency for International Cooperation (GIZ), the International Organization for Migration (IOM), and AGRHYMET Regional Centre at COP30 in Belem, Brazil.
Responding to a question on what ECOWAS Member States are expecting from regional institutions in term of support to integrate climate mobility into national adaptation plans (NAPs) and policies, Mr. Olorunfemi stated that regional bodies need to be intentional and strategic in mainstreaming climate policies across the region by playing a central role which goes beyond acting as advisory bodies, but actively ensuring that national development documents comply with existing regional frameworks, are technically sound, and are designed and used as investable political instruments that can attract project financing for both national and regional growth.

“Regional bodies must be intentional and strategic,” Mr. Olorunfemi said. “They should encourage collaboration among countries, conduct a synthesis of all submitted NAPs to assess integration of Early Warning Systems and climate mobility, and use that analysis to identify gaps.”

Olorunfemi enjoined regional institution to rally technical assistance for member states to drive efficiency and to effectively integrate Measurement and Evaluation mechanism in their respective project implementation.

In reacting to a question on failures of early warning systems on flooding, Olorunfemi emphasised that the Local government leadership be designated and empowered as first responder, the channel of communicating warnings must be improved and ensure it get to the right people in the right form and language.

He further highlights the need for provision of adequate infrastructure for evacuation to designated make shift camps, while encouraging government to build trust with people living in the vulnerable planes through continuous sensitisation and advocacy. “No life is worth losing to flooding when it is avoidable” he said.

With COP30 spotlighting implementation and resilience, the discussion took place in the context of intensifying climate impacts across West Africa, where communities are facing increasing risks of displacement, migration, and loss of livelihoods, with women disproportionately affected due to limited access to early warning information and adaptation resources which continue to constrain evidence-based and equitable responses.

The event which highlighted how integrated early warning and climate mobility systems can drive anticipatory action, enhance cross-border cooperation, and build long-term climate resilience, and the role of regional bodies in coordinating these efforts had in the panel Dr. Raoul Koumane, ECOWAS; Dr. Boubacar Assoumana AGRHYMET; John Baki, Women Environment Programme (WEP); Darius ANKAMAH, Alliance for Youth in Climate Change Action (AYCCA); ECOWAS and was moderated by SODOKIN Komi Elom Claude, IOM.

Matching green industrialization ambitions in Africa and Europe: 3 proposals in the run-up to the AU-EU Summit

On 24-25 November, African and European leaders will meet for the 7th African Union-European Union Summit (AU-EU) in Luanda, Angola. In parallel, private sector representatives will discuss new avenues for investment and cooperation at the AU-EU Business Summit. A lot is happening on both continents with regard to green industrial policies, with a particular appetite for the mobility, minerals and agro-food sectors which are of strategic interest for countries in Africa and Europe. Policy and investment environments are evolving thanks to the ambitious commitments made recently during the 2nd  Africa Climate Summit or within the EU’s Clean Industrial Deal and energy and climate vision. But those commitments are not always aligned, and the global trade war and the race to competitiveness in green sectors are not always playing towards long-term strategic partnerships and positive sum games. This blog post makes 3 proposals to foster such a long-term vision and successful new trade and investment partnership tools which could help Africa and Europe both gain in competitiveness. 

Note: This blog posts builds on discussions facilitated by the Ukama Africa-Europe network during a policy-business dialogue held on 17 October, 2025: “Forging green industrial partnerships between Europe and Africa:new momentum, opportunities and barriers.

Proposal #1: Moving from transactional trade to strategic interdependence

The global demand for Africa’s critical minerals and vast renewable energy resources is soaring, yet this presents an existential risk, i.e. replicating the old extractive model or creating “green enclaves” large-scale projects that generate wealth but remain largely disconnected from local economies and fail to catalyze wider transformation. Africa’s partnerships must therefore target a growing degree of downstream value addition. In this context, increased green industrial activity can be designed to serve both export markets and domestic needs.

Africa could for example export green hydrogen, but a lot of potential sits in further value creation. Green hydrogen can indeed play a key role in high-value, energy-intensive products: green HBI (Hot Briquetted Iron) and green steel are prime examples for export, leveraging Africa’s low-cost renewables to create competitively priced, low-carbon intermediary goods for traditional European industrial sectors; in parallel, green fertilizers for domestic use immediately address a continental challenge, reducing reliance on expensive imports and strengthening food security; and the production of alternative green fuels for transport could soon open new export and domestic bunkering markets.

However, investment and subsequent development at scale will not happen in the absence of viable business cases. For green HBI/steel, viability relies on a durable global cost competitiveness and needs to be underpinned by enabling policy and securing massive, long-term, low-cost power and ensuring predictable off-take agreements with global consumers to de-risk the investment. As for green fertilizers, viability arises when local production results in lower costs and higher predictable availability than import, which–given the global fertilizer market structure and high African import dependency–is a viable near-term prospect.

A strategic approach de-risks investment by linking export revenue with domestic development, ensuring that green growth is genuinely inclusive and creates the thousands of jobs possible in well-structured industrial parks. Africa can become a global green manufacturing hub, but only if policymakers, investors, and industrial leaders embrace a new era of competitive interdependence by building production capacity where it makes most economic, climate, and developmental sense.

Proposal #2: Aligning capital with pan-African initiatives and regional clusters

The ambition of Africa’s Green Industrialization Initiative (AGII) has been solidified by recent commitments at the 2nd Africa Climate Summit (IDDRI, 2025) providing crucial strategic direction for the continent’s green economic shift. This intent was powerfully underlined by African financial institutions, including the African Development Bank and Afreximbank, who signed the cooperation framework, pledging to mobilize over $100 billion for large-scale AGII projects, which could act as a strong signaling mechanism for global investors.

To realize this vision, the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) is a key piece of the puzzle, as it transforms Africa into a single, vast market, which is essential for achieving the scale and integration necessary for cluster industrial investment. This allows for the critical shift to invest across the entire value chain, from mine to product. For instance, the Southern Africa EV metals cluster requires integrated investment in mining, refining, and component manufacturing, which the AfCFTA’s unified market helps to sustain. This framework encourages coordinated policies that make these pan-African, full-value-chain projects globally competitive, accelerating the strategic goal of moving beyond simple extraction and into resilient green industry.

AGII’s financial backing signals a clear commitment to building competitive green industrial corridors. International partners are now invited to align their capital with this African-led direction. Purposeful integration into global supply chains and capitalizing on Africa’s inherent potential for climate competitiveness can drive commercially viable investment cases that unlock a globally competitive, sustainable manufacturing base for shared prosperity.

Proposal #3: Facilitating investments and removing trade barriers: new partnership models

Both the AU and the EU advance their respective industrial strategies, and the 7th AU-EU Summit is a timely opportunity to reassess how trade and investment tools can be mobilized to drive clean industrial development while deepening cooperation between the two regions. Aligning domestic policy objectives and economic foreign policy requires moving beyond traditional approaches. This means identifying and removing barriers to trade and investment in clean supply chains while exploring new approaches to international cooperation suited to today’s geopolitical context, where both sides face pressures to decarbonize, diversify supply chains, and attract investment in strategic sectors.

There is already much to build on. In recent years, new partnership models between the EU and African economies have emerged blending traditional trade and investment tools with more targeted, industrial-policy-oriented instruments. The Sustainable Investment Facilitation Agreement (SIFA) is one example. The first agreement of this kind was concluded between the EU and Angola in 2024 seeking to attract, expand, and retain foreign direct investment (FDI). It blends traditional investment facilitation disciplines—aimed at simplifying administrative procedures, enhancing transparency, and improving predictability for foreign investors—with provisions designed to steer investments towards sustainable development objectives. Although it is too early to assess its impact on investment flows, the SIFA offers a promising framework for a country like Angola, whose economy remains highly dependent on fossil fuels, to attract more diversified and sustainable investment. Building on this experience, the EU is currently negotiating a SIFA with Côte d’Ivoire, with plans to launch negotiations with Egypt, Nigeria and Ghana. The real test will be whether this tool can be flexibly adapted to the very different economic contexts, investment needs, profiles, and domestic priorities of African partners and what kind of investment it ultimately attracts.

Another illustration of merging old and new is the first-ever EU Clean Trade and Investment Partnership (CTIP) with South Africa, expected to be concluded at the G20 Summit in Johannesburg. The CTIP targets higher-value sectors such as electric vehicles (EVs), batteries, green hydrogen, and sustainable aviation fuels, supported by a dedicated Global Gateway investment package, integrating trade, investment, sustainable development, and industrial policy under a single framework. Interestingly, the CTIP has provided a space to rethink rules of origin (ROOs) for EVs, which have long been identified as a barrier to the transition from internal combustion engine vehicles to EVs, as per the European Commission’s ex post evaluation of the EU-SADC Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA). With three out of every four vehicles produced in South Africa exported to the EU, current ROOs) —which determine the economic nationality of a product—could prevent EVs from qualifying for preferential zero-tariff treatment, given the reliance on batteries sourced from Asia, which account for a large share of the vehicle’s value. Designing EV-specific ROOs tailored to EU-SADC supply chains could facilitate EV trade while also incentivizing investment in battery manufacturing in both regions. This example illustrates the trade and investment barriers that must be addressed and highlights the need for innovative, context-specific solutions to drive clean industrial development across both regions.

The AU-EU Summit will take place in a complex geopolitical moment marked by shifting priorities and alliances. Green industrialization ambitions must however resonate on both continents. The EU remains Africa’s leading trade (EU-Africa trade flows reached approximately €355 billion in 2024)1, investment, and development partner with recent announcement at the Global Gateway Forum2 to back up the Africa-Europe Green Energy Initiative (AEGEI) launched at the last AU-EU Summit (2022) with an additional €618 million package to scale up renewables in Africa.

In the fast-evolving context of industrial policy initiatives on both continents and the diversification of partnerships and alliances, the three proposals developed above could help anchor partnerships in a longer term and more mutually beneficial vision of competitiveness and prioritize sustainable investments in economic diversification and regional manufacturing hubs.

Nigeria Validates Its Just Transition Guidelines and Action Plan

Nigeria has taken a bold and historic step toward building an inclusive, sustainable, and low-carbon future. The National Council on Climate Change (NCCC) has officially validated the Just Transition Guidelines and Action Plan (JT-GAP)—a landmark framework designed to steer the nation’s shift to a green and climate-resilient economy. The validation ceremony, held on the 6th and 7th of October 2025 at the Nigeria Air Force Conference Centre, Kado, Abuja, marks a pivotal moment in Nigeria’s journey toward a fair and equitable transition.

Developed by the Centre for Climate Change and Development (CCCD), Alex Ekwueme Federal University, Ndufu-Alike, Ebonyi State, with support from International Labor Organization (ILO), the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), and the United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO), the Just Transition Guidelines and Action Plan stands as a model of evidence-based, inclusive policy formulation.

The two-day event commenced with a technical session, which provided an in-depth review of the draft JT-GAP. The session brought together technical experts from across government, academia, and international development institutions to deliberate on key components of the report.

The technical presentation was anchored by Professor Emmanuel Oladipo, representing the lead consultant, Professor Chukwumerije Okereke, while the cross-cutting themes of the JT-GAP—such as gender inclusion, youth empowerment, and social equity—were presented by Dr. Austine Sadiq Okoh, who served as the Project Manager. Their presentations set the tone for a robust exchange of ideas, ensuring the technical soundness and inclusivity of the final document.

The workshop featured participants from various ministries, departments, and agencies (MDAs); multilateral institutions; civil society organizations; women and youth groups; representatives of persons with disabilities; labor unions; and private sector actors. This wide-ranging participation underscored the national commitment to ensuring that Just Transition truly leaves no one behind.

The validation ceremony which took place on the second day was graced by an array of distinguished personalities, including the Director-General of the NCCC, Mrs. Tenioye Majekodunmi; Mr. Ibrahim Shelleng, Senior Special Assistant to the President on Climate Finance and Stakeholder Engagement; the Chairman and Deputy Chairman of the House of Representatives Committee on Climate Change; the Special Adviser to the President on the Ease of Doing Business; the Country Director of the NDC Partnership; and Permanent Secretaries on Climate Change from Lagos, Cross River, and Imo States. Also in attendance were heads of federal ministries, development partners, industrial leaders, labor union representatives, CSOs, youth advocates, people living with disabilities, and members of the consultant team.

In her remarks, Mrs. Tenioye Majekodunmi, the Director-General of the NCCC, described the JT-GAP as _“a comprehensive, evidence-based, and professionally crafted document that reflects Nigeria’s unwavering commitment to an equitable energy transition and decarbonization pathway.”_ She emphasized that the plan aligns seamlessly with Nigeria’s Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), Energy Transition Plan (ETP), and long-term net-zero ambitions, adding that it was developed through an extensive process of national and international review.

She further commended the consultant team and stakeholders for producing a document that “leaves no one behind,” reaffirming that _“the Just Transition is not merely an environmental agenda, but a people-centered development vision that ensures economic growth, social justice, and environmental sustainability move hand in hand.”_ The DG called on all stakeholders to take collective ownership of the report and ensure the timely implementation of its recommendations across all sectors.

Participants at the validation ceremony unanimously applauded the quality, inclusiveness, and international standard of the Just Transition Guidelines and Action Plan. They lauded the depth of consultation and participatory engagement that characterized its preparation, describing it as a true reflection of national will and international best practice.

Professor Chukwumerije Okereke, the Lead Consultant, says “I am delighted to have led the team that produced the Just Transition Guidelines and Action Plan (JT-GAP). Our report offers insight on how Nigeria can unlock new opportunities in green growth, innovation and emerging industrial ecosystems while taking ambitious climate action. We have not only provided a detailed analysis of the justice dimensions of climate impact and transition pathways in key sectors of Nigeria’s economy. But we have also offered clear guidance and action plan on how Nigeria can align climate ambition with its development priorities to ensure that decarbonisation does not come at the expense of jobs, livelihoods and social stability.”

Continuing, Okereke says, “both climate change and action implicate equity and justice in profound and complect ways. By embedding fairness and inclusivity at the core of Nigeria’s transition effort, the JT-GAP if implemented will protect workers, trade unions, women, the youth, and marginalized groups and communities and help Nigeria to mitigate critical transition risks such as job displacement, stranded assets and fiscal stress.”

The validation of the JT-GAP therefore marks a new dawn for Nigeria. And is a milestone in the nation’s commitment to achieving a just, inclusive, and people-driven transition that prioritizes social equity, decent jobs, and community well-being in the face of climate change. It reaffirms Nigeria’s determination to lead Africa’s march toward a low-carbon, climate-resilient, and sustainable future.

— Paul Ogwu
Assistant Project Manager

The Climate Conundrum

COP29 aims to get developed countries to agree to greater financial support for poor climate-vulnerable nations

The 29th Conference of the Parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP29) is to be held from 11 to 22 November in Baku, Azerbaijan. The main goal of the conference is for countries to agree on a new climate finance target through which wealthy countries will pay to help poorer and climate-vulnerable nations to cope with climate change. On this occasion, ChinAfrica talked to Chukwumerije Okereke, director of the Centre for Climate Change and Development at the Alex-Ekwueme Federal University Ndufu-Alike in Nigeria and also a partner of Allied for Climate Transformation by 2025 (ACT2025), to seek his views on Africa’s and China’s efforts on combating climate change.

ChinAfrica: How do you view the achievements of COP28? What are the highlights of COP28? 

Chukwumerije Okereke: COP28 in 2023 resulted in some productive outcomes, including a truth-telling Global Stocktake (GST) – a report card assessing global climate action and support. The GST unveils a stark reality: Progress lags significantly behind the goals of the Paris Agreement, and time is slipping away. To this end, the GST makes it clear that the world must transition away from fossil fuels, and puts in place new global goals to complement the transition, including tripling renewable energy, doubling energy efficiency, and halting deforestation.

However, a GST outcome that merely recognises challenges without support to address those challenges hardly offers much hope. Studies estimate that developing countries will need trillions of US dollars of public and private funding for climate action by 2030. Climate-vulnerable nations are also disappointed by the insufficient response to climate-related disasters. They have stressed that more progress is urgently needed to align with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5-degree-Celsius target.

What is your comment on China’s efforts on combating climate change? 

China has already taken notable steps to green its overseas investments and contribute to global climate efforts. China is the world’s largest solar generator. Looking ahead, China can enhance ambition and lead by aligning its actions with the demands of climate-vulnerable nations. This includes supporting adaptation through knowledge sharing, and accelerating its own just transition towards carbon neutrality.

Expectations are high for all G7 and G20 countries; they must send a loud and clear signal for reducing emissions this year to solidify 2025 as the year of increased ambition. In practice, this means that G7 and G20 countries must strengthen their national climate plans (known as Nationally Determined Contributions or NDCs) consistent with 1.5-degree-Celsius pathways and in line with GST learnings. These NDCs, expected well in advance of COP30 in 2025, should indicate economy-wide absolute emissions reduction targets, covering all sectors.

What is your comment on China-Africa partnership on the fight against climate change? 

China is an important trading partner of Africa and one of its biggest sources of foreign aid and investment. China is also home to more than 80 percent of the world’s renewable energy manufacturing. All these make China uniquely well positioned to support clean energy expansion and access in Sub-Saharan Africa.

The outcomes of the recently held Beijing Summit of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation reflect the importance of China-Africa cooperation in shaping a sustainable and equitable climate future. We also see indicators here of China taking steps to green its overseas investments and advance climate action and justice for other parts of the world.

What are the challenges and opportunities faced by China and African countries in combating climate change?  

China and Africa need to ensure China’s clean energy investment is directed where it can have the most positive impact. Considering that distributed renewable energy is primarily needed in rural areas of Sub-Saharan Africa, this presents various challenges of access and scale. As such, it is important that local contexts, including terrain and cultural dynamics, dictate how to successfully design and execute projects.

More generally, it can be said that both China and Africa are attempting to strike a balance between climate action, energy security, and long-term economic competitiveness. Both require risk analysis, scenario planning, and common sense based on observable trends.

What role China could play in uniting developing countries to jointly combat climate change? 

Given that China’s leadership is crucial to achieving global climate goals, China is well primed to serve as a catalyst for global unity. China has a unique role to play in fostering unity and driving global progress towards a sustainable and equitable future through its support for climate-vulnerable nations. By fostering cooperation among the Global South, China can enhance its support for inclusive and people-centred development that drives global climate action towards a clean and beautiful world.

Indeed, China has consistently been a strong voice for climate justice, particularly through its pivotal role in supporting the G77 to call for the establishment of a loss and damage fund at COP27.

What are your expectations for this year’s COP29? 

As we look ahead to COP29, the ACT2025 consortium has outlined four key priorities in our Call to Action, which are critical to building a more inclusive and sustainable future for all. These priorities speak to the financial and climate justice needs of vulnerable nations:

Ambitious climate finance is non-negotiable: COP29 must deliver the New Collective Qualified Goal (NCQG) on climate finance that aligns with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5-degree-Celsius target and reflects the real financial needs of vulnerable nations. The NCQG must cover mitigation, adaptation, and loss and damage.

Scaling up adaptation efforts: COP28’s outcomes fell short of addressing the urgency of the adaptation crisis. COP29 presents a critical opportunity to fill these gaps, not only ensuring that adaptation plans and their implementation are robust, inclusive, and effective, but also that there are sufficient resources available to do so.

Responding to loss and damage with sufficient action and support: The new Fund for Responding to Loss and Damage must be sufficiently funded and fully operational by COP29. The new fund is meaningless if it does not result in accessible finance at scale to meet the immediate needs of vulnerable developing countries and communities in responding to loss and damage, without imposing further burdens such as debt.

Accelerating mitigation ambition and implementation: With 2025 rapidly approaching, countries need clear, people-centred pathways to phase out fossil fuels and a just transition to net-zero greenhouse gas emissions.

SPP, DCC Unveil Initiative To Rate, Rank Nigerian States’ Climate Governance Performance

The Society for Planet and Prosperity (SPP), in close collaboration with the Department of Climate Change (DCC) of the Federal Ministry of Environment in Abuja, has announced plans to officially launch the rating and ranking of the climate governance performance of Nigeria’s 36 states in July 2024.

The statement was made on Thursday, June 13, 2024, at the inaugural coordination meeting of climate change desk officers from Nigerian states, which was convened by the DCC.

SPP President, Prof Chukwumerije Okereke, while presenting the state of play of the rating and ranking project, said the project builds on the mapping of the climate change impact, policy, and action of the states, which was executed by the team last year in collaboration with the DCC and the Nigeria Governors Forum (NGF).

He said the current project would provide a single rating and ranking report of the performance of the 36 states of Nigeria.

Professor Okereke said the rating and ranking were done based on five governance criteria, namely, (i) climate change governance administrative structure, (ii) presence or absence of climate policy and action plan, (iii) extent of climate change project implementation; (iv) extent of incorporation of climate finance in state budgets; and (v) online visibility of state’ climate activities.

Professor Okereke said the ranking and rating exercise is based on the responses provided by States Commissioners, Permanent Secretaries, and Climate Desk Officers across the 36 states, as well as extensive independent verification done by the research team and the Department of Climate Change staff.

Professor Okereke said he was confident that this rating and ranking exercise would raise awareness of climate in the states and create an atmosphere of positive competition and a race to the top among the states, consistent with what he has seen in other countries where such projects have been done.

Professor Okereke stated that the states with the highest-ranking scores would be recognised during the report’s launch, which is expected to be held in the last week of July.

During his keynote address, Mahmud Adam Kambari, Permanent Secretary of the Ministry of Environment, expressed his delight at the official launch of the Subnational Coordination Meeting on Climate Change, stating that climate change is a major emergency and one of the most pressing issues of our time.

He underlined the fact that the purpose of the coordination conference is to strengthen the synergy between national and subnational actors in order to achieve better climate governance in the country in line with the Presidential Transformative Agenda of the President.

The Permanent Secretary described subnational climate change officers as key personnel in the fight against climate change, given their role in translating global climate goals into concrete actions and policies that resonate at the local level.

Dr. Iniobong Abiola-Awe, Director of the DCC, while presenting the Terms of Reference (TOR) of the subnational coordination meeting, highlighted the key objectives of the meeting to include improving collaboration and knowledge sharing among Subnational Climate Change Desk Officers, promoting effective climate change action at the subnational level, and targeted training and capacity building of the desk officers.

Dr. Abiola-Awe urged climate change desk officers to be responsive and on time at all meetings, as they are expected to attend and offer updates on climate change initiatives, successes, problems, and lessons learnt in their respective regions during the monthly sessions.

In closing, Prof Okereke congratulated the DCC Team on the successful coordination meeting of Climate Change Desk Officers from Nigeria’s 36 states, which he said will have a massive impact in helping to align state climate action with national climate priorities and objectives.

By Wole Adegbule, Society for Planet and Prosperity